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| #150591 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 13.Sep.2007) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE HUMBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007 400 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007 ...HURRICANE HUMBERTO JUST INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF CAMERON TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM WEST OF HIGH ISLAND TO SARGENT TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED OR DOWNGRADED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM...NORTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS...AND ABOUT 25 MILES... 35 KM...NORTHEAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK WILL BRING HUMBERTO FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND LOUISIANA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HUMBERTO IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS HUMBERTO CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM. AN OBSERVING STATION AT BEAUMONT TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...96 KM/HR. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE TRACK OF HUMBERTO FROM SOUTHWESTERN TO NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MOST LIKELY OCCURRED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MADE LANDFALL AND SHOULD SUBSIDE THIS MORNING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...29.9 N...94.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA |
