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#150819 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:23 PM 14.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 2100 UTC FRI SEP 14 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 50.6W AT 14/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 45SE 0SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 50.6W AT 14/2100Z AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 50.3W FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.0N 51.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 52.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N 55.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N 57.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 58.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 50.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |