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| #150883 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:31 PM 14.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 0300 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 51.5W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 45NE 35SE 0SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 30SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 51.5W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 51.1W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.4N 52.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 35SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.4N 53.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.4N 55.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.3N 56.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 20.8N 58.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 22.5N 59.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 24.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 51.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
