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#151000 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:31 PM 15.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 2100 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 55.0W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 55.0W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 54.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N 56.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.8N 58.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 23.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 25.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 55.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |