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#151135 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 16.Sep.2007) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 500 PM AST SUN SEP 16 2007 ...DISORGANIZED INGRID MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF INGRID. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD PASS JUST TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. HOWEVER A DEVIATION TO THE LEFT COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THOSE ISLANDS ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...17.4 N...58.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |