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| #151136 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 16.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 2100 UTC SUN SEP 16 2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 58.6W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 58.6W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 58.2W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.8N 59.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 18.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.3N 61.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.2N 62.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 21.2N 63.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 22.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 24.0N 66.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 58.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
