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#151177 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 16.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007 0300 UTC MON SEP 17 2007 INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF INGRID. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 59.4W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 59.4W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 59.0W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.6N 60.5W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.0N 61.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.7N 62.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.3N 63.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 20.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 21.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 22.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 59.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |