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| #152160 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:28 AM 23.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007 1100 AM AST SUN SEP 23 2007 ...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A SUBTROPICAL STORM...NO THREAT TO LAND... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1070 MILES...1725 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES. THE STORM IS NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL BE MOVING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WELL TO THE WEST OF THE AZORES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JERRY IS LIKELY TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...36.0 N...46.3 W. MOVEMENT... STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
