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#152259 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 24.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007 500 AM AST MON SEP 24 2007 ...JERRY ACCELERATING TOWARD COOLER WATERS... AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.4 WEST OR ABOUT 995 MILES...1605 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES. JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...JERRY WILL REMAIN FAR FROM LAND AND PASS IN BETWEEN THE AZORES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY TUESDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...38.6 N...45.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |