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#152293 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 24.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007 1100 AM AST MON SEP 24 2007 ...JERRY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION AS IT HEADS FOR COOLER WATERS... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.5 WEST OR ABOUT 945 MILES...1525 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY TUESDAY MORNING. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...39.5 N...44.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |