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| #152541 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 26.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007 1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 95.0W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 95.0W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 95.0W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.7N 95.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.5N 95.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.3N 95.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.1N 96.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N 97.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 95.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
