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| #152592 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 26.Sep.2007) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007 2100 UTC WED SEP 26 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 94.5W AT 26/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.3N 94.5W AT 26/2100Z AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 94.4W FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.2N 94.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 20.9N 95.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.7N 95.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N 96.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.2N 97.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.3N 94.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
