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| #152636 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 26.Sep.2007) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 45.1W AT 27/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......150NE 105SE 25SW 90NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 45SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 45.1W AT 27/0300Z AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 44.6W FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.9N 46.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...150NE 105SE 25SW 90NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 45SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.2N 48.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...100NE 75SE 20SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N 50.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.5N 51.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.4N 54.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 21.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 22.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 45.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
