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| #152696 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 27.Sep.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 1100 AM AST THU SEP 27 2007 ...KAREN DISORGANIZED BUT MAINTAINING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.3 WEST OR ABOUT 920 MILES...1485 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. DATA FROM THE STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE RADIOMETER...SFMR... INSTRUMENT ON BOARD A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KAREN IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...AND SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195 MILES...315 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...13.7 N...47.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA |
