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#152741 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 27.Sep.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 500 PM AST THU SEP 27 2007 ...KAREN WEAKENING SOME...STILL A TROPICAL STORM... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST OR ABOUT 845 MILES...1360 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KAREN IS CURRENTLY IN AN AREA OF UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...AND SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.3 N...48.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA |