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#152783 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 PM 27.Sep.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 1100 PM AST THU SEP 27 2007 ...KAREN STRUGGLING OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST OR ABOUT 780 MILES...1255 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...49.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |