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#152908 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 28.Sep.2007)
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
500 PM AST FRI SEP 28 2007

...KAREN BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST OR ABOUT 780
MILES...1250 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...16.4 N...49.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA