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| #152909 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 28.Sep.2007) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 49.9W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 110SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 49.9W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 49.3W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.1N 50.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N 52.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.2N 53.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.3N 55.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 49.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA |
