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| #153014 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 29.Sep.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 1100 AM AST SAT SEP 29 2007 ...KAREN NOT LIKELY TO SURVIVE THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT... AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST OR ABOUT 530 MILES...850 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT KAREN HAS WEAKENED AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. KAREN COULD DEGENERATE INTO AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...16.8 N...53.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
