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#156960 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:55 PM 28.Oct.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NOEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007 800 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2007 ...NOEL MEANDERING...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER HISPANIOLA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO...AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES...215 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. NOEL HAS BEEN MEANDERING...WITH LITTLE OVERALL MOTION...OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF NOEL WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI BY EARLY MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND JAMAICA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 20 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER PUERTO RICO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...16.7 N...71.8 W. MOVEMENT...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS |