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#157680 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 02.Nov.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007 500 AM EDT FRI NOV 02 2007 ...NOEL MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA...GROWING IN SIZE... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST OR ABOUT 675 MILES... 1085 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 470 MILES...755 KM... SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS....BUT NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT NOEL HAS GROWN IN SIZE DURING THE NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOEL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO GROW IN SIZE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND 2 TO 4 INCHES....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...28.4 N...75.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |