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#157730 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 02.Nov.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007 1100 AM EDT FRI NOV 02 2007 ...NOEL BEGINNING TO LOSE ORGANIZATION AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE... A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST OR ABOUT 575 MILES... 925 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 425 MILES...685 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN BACK TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY...BUT MAINTAIN ITS STRENGTH AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND 2 TO 4 INCHES....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.2 N...73.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |