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#157731 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 02.Nov.2007) TCMAT1 HURRICANE NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007 1500 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007 A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 73.8W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 60NE 0SE 30SW 60NW. 50 KT.......100NE 180SE 50SW 100NW. 34 KT.......240NE 300SE 75SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 420SE 300SW 420NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 73.8W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 74.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.5N 71.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 50 KT...150NE 210SE 100SW 150NW. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 150SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.1N 69.7W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...420NE 420SE 300SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 41.8N 66.9W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 50 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 180NW. 34 KT...420NE 480SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 47.5N 62.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 0NW. 34 KT...480NE 540SE 420SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 58.0N 54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT...180NE 300SE 240SW 240NW. 34 KT...420NE 540SE 360SW 420NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 67.0N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N 73.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |