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| #163236 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:34 PM 10.Dec.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 1100 PM AST MON DEC 10 2007 ...LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DEVELOPS INTO SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA... AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO. INTERESTS IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLGA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.3 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 85 KM...EAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 300 MILES...485 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WILL BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO LATER TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER APPROACHES THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 38 MPH...61 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF 5 METERS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ST. THOMAS IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 1006.4 MB...29.72 INCHES. SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N...65.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
