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| #163271 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:34 AM 11.Dec.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 500 AM AST TUE DEC 11 2007 ...CENTER OF OLGA HUGGING THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO... ...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS OVER HISPANIOLA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER WITH HAITI...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO. INTERESTS IN HAITI SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLGA...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES... 95 KM...WEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 190 MILES... 305 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF OLGA WILL MOVE AWAY FROM PUERTO RICO LATER THIS MORNING...AND NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE OLGA REACHES THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER AS OLGA INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...18.5 N...67.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB/MAINELLI |
