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#163370 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:34 PM 11.Dec.2007) TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 2100 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 68.8W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......210NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 0SE 0SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 68.8W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 68.4W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.5N 71.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...210NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.6N 74.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.9N 77.8W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.2N 80.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.5N 83.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 68.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |