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#163469 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:40 AM 12.Dec.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 500 AM AST WED DEC 12 2007 ...CENTER OF OLGA MOVING INTO HAITI...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE. THESE WARNINGS AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA TODAY. INTERESTS IN JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLGA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF OLGA OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN HAITI AND CUBA THIS MORNING...AND NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND OLGA COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...19.2 N...72.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |