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| #16513 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:31 PM 30.Nov.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162004 2100Z TUE NOV 30 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 51.0W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 400SE 400SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 51.0W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N 51.0W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.2N 50.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.5N 49.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N 48.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 0SE 0SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 31.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 31.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 31.0N 43.0W MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 51.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH |
