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| #16547 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:14 AM 01.Dec.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162004 0900Z WED DEC 01 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 50.7W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..500NE 150SE 150SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 50.7W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9N 50.8W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.8N 50.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 30.0N 49.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 29.1N 48.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.8N 46.7W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 27.0N 45.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N 43.5W...REMANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.9N 50.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z FORECASTER LAWRENCE |
