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| #16608 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:26 PM 01.Dec.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162004 2100Z WED DEC 01 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 49.9W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 145 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 100SE 100SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N 49.9W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 50.1W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.0N 49.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 29.2N 48.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 28.3N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 27.4N 47.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 26.0N 45.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 25.0N 45.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N 49.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z FORECASTER PASCH |
