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| #191457 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:03 PM 31.May.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 700 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008 ...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES AS ARTHUR MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH BELIZE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...WEST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM... EAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL CROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND COULD EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE WATERS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION TONIGHT...BUT IT COULD LATER REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IF IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...18.4 N...89.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
