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| #191505 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:55 AM 01.Jun.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 100 AM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008 ...CENTER OF ARTHUR CONTINUES ITS SLOW PASSAGE OVER THE YUCATAN... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY AND MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...BUT IT COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IF IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 100 AM CDT POSITION...18.4 N...89.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN |
