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| #191625 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 01.Jun.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 400 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008 ...SLOW-MOVING ARTHUR STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.1 WEST...OR NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN GUATEMALA AND MEXICO ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM... SOUTHEAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA EAST OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ARTHUR COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...17.7 N...91.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN |
