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| #191751 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 01.Jun.2008) TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 1100 PM EDT SUN JUN 01 2008 FOR MANY HOURS ARTHUR HAS NOT BEEN PRODUCING SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION REQUISITE OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN ADDITION...THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN ENCOUNTERING MORE RUGGED TERRAIN WHILE PROCEEDING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD...AND IT HAS BECOME POORLY DEFINED AND ELONGATED AND MIGHT NOT EVEN BE CLOSED. THEREFORE...THIS WILL BE THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS CHANGE IN STATUS... HOWEVER...DOES NOT MEAN THAT THE RAINFALL AND FLOODING HAZARD HAS ENDED. SINCE THE CLOSED CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE DISSIPATING...NO FORECAST POINTS ARE PROVIDED...BUT THE REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE REMNANTS OF ARTHUR ARE ALSO EMBEDDED WITHIN A LARGER AND NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW....SO HEAVY RAINS COULD PERSIST OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND PERHAPS LONGER. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/0300Z 17.4N 91.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
