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#198796 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 03.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1500 UTC THU JUL 03 2008 INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 24.7W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 24.7W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 24.2W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.8N 26.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.7N 29.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.6N 32.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.6N 35.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.5N 42.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N 48.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 25.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 24.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |