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| #199191 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 05.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1500 UTC SAT JUL 05 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 37.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 75SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 37.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 36.4W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.0N 40.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 30SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.6N 43.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.4N 47.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 45SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.1N 51.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.8N 57.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. 34 KT...125NE 75SE 45SW 125NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.0N 62.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 37.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
