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#199611 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 PM 06.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1100 PM AST SUN JUL 06 2008 ...BERTHA RIGHT ON TRACK...APPEARS TO BE ON ITS WAY TO BECOME A HURRICANE... AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.9 WEST OR ABOUT 930 MILES...1500 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. IT TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF BERTHA EVENTUALLY AFFECT ANY LAND AREAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N...48.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |