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| #200023 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 08.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0300 UTC WED JUL 09 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 55.8W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 200SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 55.8W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N 55.4W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 27.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 28.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 31.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 33.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 55.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
