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| #200211 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 10.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0900 UTC THU JUL 10 2008 IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT TO WHICH BERTHA COULD IMPACT BERMUDA. INTERESTS ON THAT ISLAND SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 59.4W AT 10/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 59.4W AT 10/0900Z AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 59.1W FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 27.0N 60.3W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.0N 61.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.1N 61.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.9N 62.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 36.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 59.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
