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| #200527 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 11.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0300 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 62.4W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 62.4W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 62.3W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.0N 62.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 30.6N 62.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.2N 62.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 31.7N 62.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 34.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 35.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 62.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
