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| #200567 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 12.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0900 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE ISLAND LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 62.5W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB EYE DIAMETER 55 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 62.5W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N 62.5W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.1N 62.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.7N 62.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.3N 62.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.9N 62.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 33.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 35.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 36.5N 59.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 62.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
