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#200921 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 14.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 500 AM AST MON JUL 14 2008 ...WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARRIVING IN BERMUDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS FORECAST TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS JUST EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY. BERTHA IS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. COMMANDERS POINT...AN ELEVATED OBSERVING SITE IN BERMUDA...RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 41 MPH...67 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 56 MPH...91 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...31.5 N...63.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |