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| #200922 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 14.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 45 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0900 UTC MON JUL 14 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 63.6W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 63.6W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N 63.5W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.6N 63.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 34.2N 63.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.8N 62.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 36.4N 61.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 35.0N 59.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 34.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 37.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 63.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
