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#200958 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 AM 14.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1100 AM AST MON JUL 14 2008 ...BERTHA MOVING NORTHWARD NEAR BERMUDA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT COMMISSIONER`S POINT IN BERMUDA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS EXPECTED TO REACH BERTHA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM THE CAROLINAS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...32.0 N...63.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |