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#201011 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 14.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 47 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 500 PM AST MON JUL 14 2008 ...BERTHA CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...STRONGEST PART OF STORM ABOUT TO PASS OVER BERMUDA. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE EAST EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER BERMUDA`S ELEVATED TERRAIN. BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THERE IS SOME CHANCE THAT THIS COULD OCCUR BEFORE BERTHA`S STRONGEST WINDS MOVE PAST BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MOST RECENT MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM THE CAROLINAS THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...33.0 N...64.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |