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#201198 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 15.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 500 PM AST TUE JUL 15 2008 ...BERTHA NOW THE LONGEST-LIVED JULY TROPICAL STORM IN HISTORY... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...510 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA MAY STILL BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE ENCOUNTERING A MORE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...36.4 N...62.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |