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| #201353 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 16.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 55 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 2100 UTC WED JUL 16 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 60.5W AT 16/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 90SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 60.5W AT 16/2100Z AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.3N 60.7W FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 35.5N 59.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 34.7N 58.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 35.1N 55.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 36.9N 53.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 41.5N 47.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 46.5N 41.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 52.5N 32.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 60.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
