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| #201390 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 16.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 56 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0300 UTC THU JUL 17 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 59.8W AT 17/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......125NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 150SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N 59.8W AT 17/0300Z AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 60.1W FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.6N 58.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 34.5N 56.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...125NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.5N 54.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 37.6N 51.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 42.5N 45.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 48.0N 39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 54.5N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N 59.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
