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#201544 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 17.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 60 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0300 UTC FRI JUL 18 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 55.4W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 210SE 150SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.9N 55.4W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N 56.0W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.8N 53.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 36.7N 51.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 38.8N 48.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 41.2N 45.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 47.0N 36.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 56.0N 24.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.9N 55.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME |