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#201602 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 18.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 62 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1500 UTC FRI JUL 18 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 52.3W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 35NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......110NE 150SE 110SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 210SE 150SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 52.3W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.5N 53.0W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 38.1N 50.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 150SE 110SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.0N 46.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 44.2N 43.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 180SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 48.0N 38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 210SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 57.0N 25.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 75SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N 52.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |